US-Iran MOU: Iran Clarifies Their Expectations, China's Role Explained.

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Notable Points:

  • The United States has apparently already (electronically) signed the MOU.
  • Iran is more cohesive since in the wake of the US/Israeli strikes.
  • Iran (via Pakistan) has made it clear to the US that violating the MOU will have serious consequences.
  • China was not actually pressuring Iran to make a deal. The goal was to get America to agree to certain terms/assurances, so that when the US (or Israel) inevitably violate them, the world will understand that Iran was trying to find a peaceful resolution. 
  • That said: in terms of revealing motivations, China plays things closer to the vest than Russia, Iran and Pakistan. 

So it sounds like the major three parties (China, Russia and Iran, the three countries the US is determined to wage war against sooner or later) are aware of the United States proclivity towards duplicitous diplomacy. Also, it sounds like Iran has at least one ace that's threatening enough to give the United States pause; whether it's something nuclear or just a conventional weapon that can take out the United State's proxy (aka the one country in West Asia who doesn't want an end to the fighting) has not be disclosed. Lastly, the MOU is essentially a starting point for having real, actual negotiations with the goal of reaching a legally-binding agreement. We must take care not to mistake "deals" for contracts or treaties. 

Friday will be a telling day.

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